For the past few years I have been projecting what teams will make the play-offs if Every Favorite Wins in the last week.
YES I KNOW THEY WON'T.
One thing this scenario does is give us a handle on how many 5-4's we are likely to end up with, I think this sets the top end. Right now the number is 18. It allows teams to get an idea of can they get in at 5-4, and who are their competitors if they end in that pool.
Also the play-off averages do not take into account all of the final week wins by opponents in the last week. So if this says your in by 0.111 — and I'll post the bubble list later tonight if I get a chance, as football practice starts in 15 minutes — you've got to keep your fingers crossed.
Basically the MacBook spits out the favorites by record (7 win team beats 6 win), breaking ties by play-off average. There were still 3 ties out of 644 games that went to the bigger enrollment school. (None affecting play-off teams.) Each class difference is worth 2 wins.
Last column tells how team qualified. Yes = had 6 wins going in, PrW = got in with a predicted 6th win, Pts = selected as 5-4 team.
Last year this was a pleasant surprise, calling 245 out of 256.
Now we can see who is really on the Bubble. Snooze will have maps soon.
